Seismic Analysis of Swarm VS20210301.1 on Hawaii Island
Earthquake swarm VS20210301.1 occurred on the Island of Hawaii from 12:27 on 28 February 2021 to 04:44 on 5 March 2021, spanning 112 hours and 16 minutes. During this interval, 47 earthquakes were recorded, with the majority at shallow depths between 0 and 3 km and magnitudes ranging from 0.5 to 2.5. The sequence exhibited typical swarm characteristics, featuring numerous small events without a dominant mainshock.
The temporal distribution showed peak activity on 28 February and 1 March, including multiple events clustered within minutes, such as the paired 2.2 and 1.3 magnitude quakes at 23:27 on 28 February. Later activity tapered, with isolated events through 4 March and a final 0.7 magnitude quake concluding the swarm. Depths remained consistently shallow, indicating a near-surface source consistent with volcanic or hydrothermal processes.
Hawaii Island lies at the southeastern end of the Hawaiian-Emperor seamount chain, formed by the Hawaiian hotspot. The island hosts five major volcanoes, with Kilauea and Mauna Loa remaining active. Ongoing shield-building volcanism drives frequent seismicity through magma intrusion, flank movement, and caldera deformation. Earthquake swarms commonly precede or accompany eruptive episodes, reflecting fluid migration within the volcanic edifice.
Historical records indicate 14 swarms on the island since 1 January 2000. Prior episodes occurred in 2004 (five swarms), 2006 (one), 2012 (one), 2015 (two), 2016 (one), 2017 (two), and 2020 (two). These events cluster in regions of known volcanic unrest, underscoring the persistent influence of hotspot-driven tectonics.
This swarm aligns with patterns observed in Hawaii's volcanic systems, where low-magnitude, high-frequency sequences often signal subsurface pressure changes without leading to immediate surface eruption. Monitoring such activity supports hazard assessment for nearby communities and infrastructure.
References
USGS Earthquake Catalog Hawaii Volcano Observatory reports