Seismic Swarm PS20110916.1: Geological Context and Event Analysis off Miyako, Japan
Seismic swarm PS20110916.1 occurred 113 km ENE of Miyako, Japan, beginning at 19:26 on 16 September 2011 and concluding at 07:04 on 18 September 2011. Over 35 hours and 37 minutes, the swarm produced 10 earthquakes with magnitudes ranging from 5.1 to 6.7 and focal depths between 10 km and 40 km. The sequence began with a magnitude 6.7 event at 30 km depth, followed by events at 19:40 (M5.1, 35 km), 20:11 (M5.7, 35 km), 21:08 (M5.9, 18 km), 21:36 (M5.8, 40 km), 22:40 (M5.7, 37 km), and additional shocks on 17 September at 07:33 (M5.3, 30 km), 07:34 (M5.7, 30 km), 17:54 (M5.2, 22 km). The final event registered M5.6 at 10 km depth on 18 September.
This activity unfolded within the Japan Trench subduction zone, where the Pacific Plate descends beneath the Okhotsk Plate at rates of approximately 8–9 cm per year. The offshore region near Miyako lies along the northern segment of this convergent margin, characterized by complex faulting and historical megathrust potential. Depths recorded during the swarm align with typical intraslab and interface seismicity in the area, reflecting brittle failure within the subducting slab and overlying crust.
Since 1 January 2000, seven swarms have been documented in the vicinity, with PS20110916.1 marking the earliest. Such clustered sequences indicate episodic stress redistribution along pre-existing fractures rather than isolated mainshock-aftershock patterns. The 2011 swarm followed the great Tohoku-oki earthquake by six months, suggesting possible delayed triggering through viscoelastic relaxation or fluid migration in the forearc.
A magnitude 7.4 earthquake occurred on 20 April 2026, centered 100 km ENE of Miyako and only 10 km from the swarm centroid. This event underscores the persistent seismic hazard in the region, where accumulated strain along the plate interface continues to produce significant ruptures.
Geological records indicate that the Miyako offshore area has experienced recurrent large-magnitude events throughout the Holocene, driven by the same subduction dynamics. Bathymetric features such as the trench axis and forearc basins further modulate rupture propagation and aftershock distribution.
References
SeismoSight internal classification records for swarm PS20110916.1.
Geological Survey of Japan, AIST: Tectonic framework of the Japan Trench.
Japan Meteorological Agency seismic catalogs (2000–2026).