Seismic Swarm VS20210812.1 Near Adak, Alaska: Geological Context and Event Analysis
The seismic swarm designated VS20210812.1 occurred in the central Aleutian Islands, approximately 42 km east-northeast of Adak, Alaska. This sequence began at 23:44 UTC on 11 August 2021 and concluded at 19:28 UTC on 14 August 2021, spanning 67 hours and 43 minutes. During this period, 49 earthquakes were recorded, with magnitudes ranging from -0.9 to 1.7 and focal depths between 1 km and 10 km. The events clustered tightly in time and space, characteristic of swarm behavior rather than a mainshock-aftershock sequence.
The Aleutian Islands form a classic volcanic arc resulting from the oblique subduction of the Pacific Plate beneath the North American Plate along the Aleutian Trench. Convergence rates average 6–7 cm per year in this sector, generating frequent seismicity at shallow to intermediate depths. The region hosts active volcanoes such as Mount Adagdak and Mount Moffett on Adak Island, reflecting ongoing magmatic processes linked to the same tectonic regime. Historical records document persistent earthquake activity, including both isolated events and episodic swarms driven by fluid migration or stress perturbations within the overriding plate and along the plate interface.
Key events within the swarm included a magnitude 1.7 earthquake at 5 km depth on 12 August at 19:06 UTC, which represented the largest magnitude recorded. Earlier activity featured multiple events near magnitude 1.0–1.1, while the majority remained below magnitude 0.0. Depths were predominantly in the 4–6 km range, suggesting activity within the upper crust. The swarm exhibited a gradual increase in event rate during the first 24 hours, followed by a steady decline, with the final recorded event being a magnitude 0.0 shock at 4 km depth.
Since 1 January 2000, 32 swarms have been identified in the broader Adak region according to internal classification records. Yearly distribution shows marked variability: one swarm each in 2002 and 2013, ten in 2018, two in 2019, thirteen in 2020, and five in 2021. This pattern indicates episodic clustering influenced by regional tectonics, consistent with the high strain accumulation expected in a subduction-zone setting.
Analysis of swarm parameters reveals predominantly low-magnitude, shallow seismicity consistent with background tectonic noise amplified by transient stress changes. Such sequences contribute to the overall seismic hazard assessment of the central Aleutians, where even small events help delineate active fault structures and potential volcanic unrest. Continued monitoring remains essential given the proximity to populated areas on Adak Island and critical infrastructure.
References
- Alaska Earthquake Center, University of Alaska Fairbanks (earthquake catalogs and regional tectonics summaries)
- U.S. Geological Survey Earthquake Hazards Program (Aleutian subduction zone parameters and historical seismicity)