Seismic Swarm S20100404.1 in Baja California: Geological Context and Event Analysis
The region surrounding Alberto Oviedo Mota in Baja California, Mexico, lies along the active boundary between the Pacific and North American tectonic plates. This area experiences frequent seismicity due to right-lateral strike-slip faulting, primarily associated with the Laguna Salada fault system and related structures within the broader Gulf of California rift zone. The geology features Quaternary alluvial deposits overlying older metamorphic and igneous basement rocks, with the landscape shaped by extensional tectonics and transform faulting that accommodates oblique plate motion.
Seismic swarms have occurred intermittently in this zone, reflecting episodic strain release along segmented faults. Historical records since 2000 document six such swarms, with three in 2006 and two in 2007 preceding the 2010 sequence. These events highlight the region's persistent low-to-moderate background seismicity punctuated by clustered activity.
Swarm S20100404.1 initiated at 19:38 on 3 April 2010 and concluded at 09:58 on 29 May 2010, spanning 1334 hours and 19 minutes. During this period, 4548 earthquakes were recorded, centered 13 km west of Alberto Oviedo Mota. The initial 100 events, spanning 3–5 April, displayed a clear escalation in magnitude. Early shocks remained below 3.0 with focal depths predominantly at 9 km. Magnitudes increased progressively, reaching 4.3 by late 3 April. On 4 April, activity intensified, culminating in the 7.2 mainshock at 22:40:42, also at 9 km depth. Subsequent events in the first 100 included aftershocks up to 5.4, with depths ranging from 5 km to 14 km, indicating rupture propagation across multiple fault segments.
This sequence aligns with the 4 April 2010 El Mayor–Cucapah earthquake, whose mainshock nucleated on the Laguna Salada fault and triggered widespread surface rupture exceeding 120 km. Post-mainshock activity through May reflected afterslip and triggered seismicity on adjacent structures. Depths clustered near 9–10 km, consistent with the brittle-ductile transition in this continental crust.
The swarm underscores the potential for foreshock sequences to precede major ruptures in this tectonically active corridor. Continued monitoring remains essential given the proximity to populated areas in northern Baja California and southern California.