Seismic Swarm S20021225.1: Analysis of Activity East of Cantwell, Alaska
Seismic swarm S20021225.1 was recorded 60 km east of Cantwell, Alaska, beginning at 09:28 on 24 December 2002 and concluding at 00:40 on 30 December 2002. Over 135 hours and 12 minutes, 113 earthquakes were detected. Analysis of the first 100 events reveals predominantly low-magnitude activity consistent with swarm behavior rather than a mainshock-aftershock sequence.
Event magnitudes ranged from 0.7 to 2.6, with the majority below 1.5. Depths were shallow, concentrated between 0 and 17 km, indicating activity within the upper crust. Temporal distribution showed clustering in the initial 48 hours, followed by a gradual decline, with sporadic bursts on 26–28 December. Notable events included a 2.6 magnitude shock at 10:49 on 24 December (depth 8 km) and a 2.5 magnitude event at 15:41 the same day (depth 2 km). Later peaks featured magnitudes of 2.2 and 2.4 on 28 December.
This swarm represents the earliest recorded since 2000 in the region, with six additional swarms occurring afterward through the present. Such sequences highlight episodic, non-destructive seismicity typical of the area.
Regional Geological Context
Cantwell lies within the central Alaska Range, where the Denali Fault system dominates the tectonic framework. The fault accommodates right-lateral strike-slip motion driven by oblique convergence between the Pacific and North American plates. The Pacific Plate subducts along the Aleutian megathrust to the south, transferring stress northward and producing distributed crustal deformation across central Alaska.
Crustal structure in the vicinity includes Paleozoic to Mesozoic sedimentary and volcanic rocks accreted during terrane assembly, intruded by younger granitic bodies. Quaternary glaciation has sculpted the landscape, leaving thick surficial deposits that can influence local ground motion. Seismicity here reflects both far-field plate-boundary forces and local fault interactions along splays of the Denali system.
Historical Seismicity
Instrumental records document frequent small-magnitude events along the Denali Fault. The 3 November 2002 Denali Fault earthquake (Mw 7.9) occurred approximately one month prior, rupturing segments east of the swarm location and triggering widespread aftershocks. Post-2002 monitoring by regional networks has improved detection of low-magnitude swarms, underscoring the fault’s capacity for clustered activity without large mainshocks.
References
- Alaska Earthquake Center, University of Alaska Fairbanks
- U.S. Geological Survey Earthquake Hazards Program
- Denali Fault System tectonic summaries, USGS Professional Papers