Seismic Swarm S20020104.2: Analysis of Activity Near Delta, Baja California
Seismic swarm S20020104.2 was recorded from 01:47 on 4 January 2002 until 22:59 on 9 January 2002, spanning 141 hours and 12 minutes. The events occurred 15 km northeast of Delta, Baja California, Mexico, with a total of 156 earthquakes detected.
The swarm took place in the Mexicali Valley, a tectonically active zone at the boundary between the Pacific and North American plates. This region features a network of strike-slip faults, including the Imperial Fault and the Cerro Prieto Fault, which accommodate right-lateral shear as part of the broader San Andreas transform system. Shallow seismicity is common, often linked to geothermal activity and fluid migration within the crust. Depths of recorded events clustered between 6 and 7 km, consistent with the brittle upper crust in this extensional-transform setting.
Analysis of the first 100 events shows magnitudes ranging from 1.7 to 3.5, with the majority falling between 1.8 and 2.8. Depths remained stable at 6–7 km throughout. Activity began with a modest event of magnitude 1.9 at 01:47 on 4 January, followed by a rapid increase in frequency later that day. Peak intensity occurred between 17:00 and 23:00 on 4 January, when multiple events of magnitude 2.8–3.5 were recorded, including the swarm’s largest shocks of 3.5. Subsequent days exhibited a gradual decline in both rate and maximum magnitude, with events of 3.0–3.4 still occurring on 5 and 6 January before tapering off.
This pattern aligns with historical swarm behavior in the Imperial Valley, where sequences of small to moderate events often occur without a single dominant mainshock. The 2002 swarm represents the second such episode since 1 January 2000, following an earlier swarm in 2000. Such recurrent swarms reflect ongoing tectonic strain release along the plate boundary.
References
- USGS Earthquake Catalog
- Geological Survey of Mexico (SGM) regional tectonic reports
- SeismoSight internal swarm classification S20020104.2